BGL’s FY24 earnings result was broadly in line with our estimates. There were some variances in working capital vs our estimates, and BGL’s A$90.9m in lease liabilities was ~A$40m higher than we had anticipated. We have made some modest adjustments to our earnings forecasts, largely increased finance costs due to the higher leases, which drives 2-4% cuts to our earnings forecasts. We lower our price target 7% to A$1.30 due to the weaker earnings outlook and higher lease liability balance and reiterate our HOLD rating on BGL. Delivering on its production targets and demonstrating reduced AISC presents key near-term catalysts for BGL, with the company able to provide positive news flow from near-mine exploration success over the course of FY25.
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